In 1998 in the Minnesota Gubernatorial race, a poll on October 20 showed Humphrey leading 35% to Coleman 34% and up-start former wrestler and independant candidate Jesse Ventura at 21%. In only two weeks, Ventura expanded that 21% to 37% which was enough to win the three-way race.
But can Daggett close the gap? Its possible.
1) The fat guy needs to continue to implode under the weight of the worst run campaign in New Jersey history.
2) Corzine's saturation of the airwaves actually turns off voters and drives them to either (a) stay home or (b) vote for someone else (presumably Daggett)
3) As more people learn about Daggett's tax positions more people like him, and there are still those who intend to vote who are not entirely familiar with him. When people know about his plans, they generally like them.
The key will be the first poll around Halloween. If Daggett can get his numbers close to 26 or 27% I think he wins. It should be a fun two weeks!