I am a law school student, so I only have time for rudimentary math - but I thought I would weigh in on tonight's big Twins game.
My advice for Nick Blackburn tonight is THROW STRIKES.
For those actuaries out there, this may seem like weak math, but, again, it's all I have time for.
In Nick Blackburn's 15 starts this season where he has thrown 66.6% strikes or LESS, he has a 6.38 ERA
In Blackburn's 16 starts this season where he has thrown 66.7% strikes or HIGHER, he has a 2.80 ERA
Moreover, in the 8 starts where he has thrown at least 70% strikes, he has never posted more than 2 earned runs.
Tonight, we should know early on which Blackburn we're watching. If he's throwing strikes, he should be on top of his game. If not, it could be an early retreat to the Florida golf-courses for the Twins.
Moreover, in the 8 starts where he has thrown at least 70% strikes, he has never posted more than 2 earned runs.
Tonight, we should know early on which Blackburn we're watching. If he's throwing strikes, he should be on top of his game. If not, it could be an early retreat to the Florida golf-courses for the Twins.
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